World Champs

Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - World Champs

Top Esports Top Esports
VS
Invictus Gaming Invictus Gaming
Nov 6, 22:00·Bo5

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Series Predictions
Top Esports
Invictus Gaming
FastTree · free model
Uncertain
Top Esports46.8% Invictus Gaming53.2%
Head-to-Head & Form
Top Esports
Elo Rating 1795
Tournament Record –
Overall Record 194W - 135L (59%)
Current Streak 2W
H2H Win Rate 55.3%
VS
Invictus Gaming
Elo Rating 1788
Tournament Record –
Overall Record 145W - 129L (52.9%)
Current Streak 1W
H2H Win Rate 44.7%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
Contrarian call - fading the favorite
No single stat favors Invictus Gaming. Top Esports leads nearly every metric below, but the model reads that profile as one that tends to lose here - so it favors Invictus Gaming anyway. The rows below are the Top Esports edges the model weighs against, not reasons Invictus Gaming is ahead.
1
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Top Esports +13%
Top Esports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Invictus Gaming.
Impact 25.6%
Counts for Invictus Gaming The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
2
Recent Win RateRecent Win RateWin rate over the last 5 matches - the most direct measure of current form, faster-reacting than season-long stats.
Top Esports +0% WR
Top Esports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Invictus Gaming.
Impact 11%
Counts for Invictus Gaming The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
3
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Top Esports +4
Top Esports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Invictus Gaming.
Impact 10.9%
Counts for Invictus Gaming The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
4
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Invictus Gaming +154
Invictus Gaming leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Top Esports.
Impact 8.8%
Counts for Top Esports The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
5
Head-to-Head History
Top Esports +10.5% WR
Impact 7.1%
Top Esports
6
Elo Rating
Top Esports +7 Elo
Impact 6.8%
Top Esports
7
Combat PowerCombat PowerA combined combat signal blending damage to champions, damage per minute, and teamfight power.
Invictus Gaming +11
Invictus Gaming leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Top Esports.
Impact 6%
Counts for Top Esports The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
8
Opponent Avg Elo
Top Esports +0
Top Esports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Invictus Gaming.
Impact 5.8%
Counts for Invictus Gaming The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
9
H2HWin Rate Weighted
Top Esports +10.5% WR
Impact 4.9%
Top Esports
10
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Top Esports +1% expected WR
Impact 2.9%
Top Esports
Scouting Report
Top Esports BLUE
Stronger win record (59%)
Invictus Gaming RED
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)

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