Week preview · Aug 29–Sep 5, 2026
NACL - this week's matches, called by the models
Model performance for NACL?
Return on investment
Flat-stake ROI - the return from staking 1 unit on this model's picks at the closing market odds. ALL counts every priced prediction in this market; +EV counts only the picks that were positive-EV at that price (the ones the value engine stakes).
Series winner
13/27–
Best
Handicap
3/9–
Total maps
12/22–
Exact score
6/23–
- 1 series scheduled in NACL this week.
- Tightest matchup by Elo: Conviction (#158) vs NRG (#105).
Handicap, Total Maps, Exact Score, Total Kills and Player Kills unlock with Premium
Wednesday, Sep 2
FastTree
· free model
Best models: FastTree
+12.5%
High confidenceUpdated 1h ago
CNV33.6%
NRG66.4%
fair 2.98
fair 1.51
Model agreement
Unlock all four
50/50FastTree · 66.4% NRG
Form
3–2
4–1
last five series
3–2
4–1
last five series
Gold
15 min
+1.1k
+1.8k
season average
Head to head
0
1
0–2 in the last series
0
1
0–2 in the last seriesModelSeries winner
Accuracy
At this confidenceNACL ROI
ROI on +EV picks
FastTree!Best +EV in NACL
33.6
66.4
52%15/29
68%576/845
Claims 66.4% here · was right 68% of the time at this confidence (576/845)
−25.1%15/28
?Return from a flat stake on every settled pick this model made on this market in this league, priced at closing market odds.15/28 picks
+12.5%7/10
?Same flat-stake return in this league, counting only positive-EV picks - where the model's fair price beat the market line at close.7/10 picks
LightGBM!Best ROI in NACLBest for confidence
48%14/29
79%258/327
−22.7%15/26
?Return from a flat stake on every settled pick this model made on this market in this league, priced at closing market odds.15/26 picks
−15.9%10/17
?Same flat-stake return in this league, counting only positive-EV picks - where the model's fair price beat the market line at close.10/17 picks
PCA Sweep!
45%13/29
77%295/384
−33.3%13/26
?Return from a flat stake on every settled pick this model made on this market in this league, priced at closing market odds.13/26 picks
−27.4%7/14
?Same flat-stake return in this league, counting only positive-EV picks - where the model's fair price beat the market line at close.7/14 picks
Consensus!
46%13/28
74%445/600
−30.7%13/25
?Return from a flat stake on every settled pick this model made on this market in this league, priced at closing market odds.13/25 picks
−15.3%5/9
?Same flat-stake return in this league, counting only positive-EV picks - where the model's fair price beat the market line at close.5/9 picks
Accuracy and ROI are each model's record on past NACL matches on this market.
See every model's call on these matches
LightGBM, PCA Sweep and Consensus predictions, value picks and premium markets.
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