RIFTCAST
Weekly model report
Apr 20 — Apr 26, 2026
Last completed week · all leagues
42 evaluated series
Weekly overview
Series and game accuracy across every prediction evaluated this week.
FastTree
Series accuracy
73.0%
27 / 37
Game accuracy
75.0%
42 / 56
LightGBM
Series accuracy
69.4%
25 / 36
Game accuracy
80.0%
40 / 50
PCA Sweep
Series accuracy
75.0%
30 / 40
Game accuracy
83.6%
51 / 61
Consensus
Series accuracy
77.1%
27 / 35
Game accuracy
83.3%
45 / 54
Per-market performance
Accuracy across every settled prediction, plus flat-stake ROI on the value engine's positive-EV picks — broken down by market.
FastTree
| Market | Accuracy | ROI |
|---|---|---|
| Series Winner | 73% 27/37 | -- |
| Game Winner | 75% 42/56 | -- |
| Series Handicap | -- | -- |
| Total Maps | -- | -- |
| Exact Score | -- | -- |
| Total | 74% 69/93 | -- |
LightGBM
| Market | Accuracy | ROI |
|---|---|---|
| Series Winner | 69% 25/36 | -- |
| Game Winner | 80% 40/50 | -- |
| Series Handicap | -- | -- |
| Total Maps | -- | -- |
| Exact Score | -- | -- |
| Total | 76% 65/86 | -- |
PCA Sweep
| Market | Accuracy | ROI |
|---|---|---|
| Series Winner | 75% 30/40 | -- |
| Game Winner | 84% 51/61 | -- |
| Series Handicap | -- | -- |
| Total Maps | -- | -- |
| Exact Score | -- | -- |
| Total | 80% 81/101 | -- |
Consensus
| Market | Accuracy | ROI |
|---|---|---|
| Series Winner | 77% 27/35 | -- |
| Game Winner | 83% 45/54 | -- |
| Series Handicap | -- | -- |
| Total Maps | -- | -- |
| Exact Score | -- | -- |
| Total | 81% 72/89 | -- |
Match results
42 completed series with evaluated predictions, grouped by match day.
MONDAY
April 20, 2026
2 SERIESLEC
15:00 UTC
G2 Esports
2
-
0
ShiftersFastTree3/3
SERIES
86%
86%
GAME 1
70%
70%
GAME 2
71%
71%
LightGBM3/3
SERIES
96%
96%
GAME 1
71%
71%
GAME 2
74%
74%
PCA Sweep3/3
SERIES
86%
86%
GAME 1
72%
72%
GAME 2
69%
69%
Consensus3/3
SERIES
89%
89%
GAME 1
71%
71%
GAME 2
71%
71%
LEC
17:15 UTC
SK Gaming
0
-
2
Karmine CorpFastTree3/3
SERIES
80%
80%
GAME 1
68%
68%
GAME 2
70%
70%
LightGBM3/3
SERIES
95%
95%
GAME 1
70%
70%
GAME 2
71%
71%
PCA Sweep3/3
SERIES
76%
76%
GAME 1
72%
72%
GAME 2
72%
72%
Consensus3/3
SERIES
83%
83%
GAME 1
70%
70%
GAME 2
71%
71%
TUESDAY
April 21, 2026
1 SERIESEMEA Masters
15:00 UTC
Solary
3
-
0
GalionsFastTree1/4
SERIES
30%
30%
GAME 1
33%
33%
GAME 2
37%
37%
GAME 3
69%
69%
LightGBM0/2
SERIES
24%
24%
GAME 1
38%
38%
GAME 2
48%
48%
GAME 3
47%
47%
PCA Sweep3/4
SERIES
22%
22%
GAME 1
71%
71%
GAME 2
64%
64%
GAME 3
82%
82%
Consensus1/2
SERIES
25%
25%
GAME 1
46%
46%
GAME 2
48%
48%
GAME 3
65%
65%
WEDNESDAY
April 22, 2026
6 SERIESLCK
08:00 UTC
KIWOOM DRX
0
-
2
kt RolsterFastTree3/3
SERIES
78%
78%
GAME 1
69%
69%
GAME 2
74%
74%
LightGBM3/3
SERIES
94%
94%
GAME 1
73%
73%
GAME 2
74%
74%
PCA Sweep3/3
SERIES
75%
75%
GAME 1
70%
70%
GAME 2
73%
73%
Consensus3/3
SERIES
82%
82%
GAME 1
71%
71%
GAME 2
74%
74%
LPL
09:00 UTC
WeiboGaming
2
-
0
Xi'an Team WEFastTree--
SERIES
50%
50%
LightGBM--
SERIES
50%
50%
PCA Sweep--
SERIES
50%
50%
Consensus--
SERIES
50%
50%
LCK
10:00 UTC
Hanwha Life Esports
2
-
1
NONGSHIM RED FORCEFastTree3/4
SERIES
60%
60%
GAME 1
67%
67%
GAME 2
29%
29%
GAME 3
67%
67%
LightGBM1/2
SERIES
52%
52%
GAME 1
57%
57%
GAME 2
32%
32%
GAME 3
53%
53%
PCA Sweep2/4
SERIES
23%
23%
GAME 1
63%
63%
GAME 2
30%
30%
GAME 3
67%
67%
Consensus2/3
SERIES
46%
46%
GAME 1
63%
63%
GAME 2
30%
30%
GAME 3
62%
62%
LPL
11:00 UTC
Shenzhen NINJAS IN PYJAMAS
0
-
2
Anyone's LegendFastTree0/1
SERIES
85%
85%
LightGBM0/1
SERIES
95%
95%
PCA Sweep0/1
SERIES
89%
89%
Consensus0/1
SERIES
89%
89%
LES
15:00 UTC
FALKE ESPORTS
2
-
0
UB Alma MaterFastTree0/1
SERIES
40%
40%
GAME 1
46%
46%
GAME 2
48%
48%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES
71%
71%
GAME 1
53%
53%
GAME 2
54%
54%
PCA Sweep2/3
SERIES
39%
39%
GAME 1
61%
61%
GAME 2
56%
56%
Consensus--
SERIES
50%
50%
GAME 1
53%
53%
GAME 2
52%
52%
LES
18:00 UTC
Barça Esports
2
-
1
UCAM Esports ClubFastTree2/3
SERIES
50%
50%
GAME 1
68%
68%
GAME 2
32%
32%
GAME 3
64%
64%
LightGBM1/2
SERIES
74%
74%
GAME 1
54%
54%
GAME 2
42%
42%
GAME 3
50%
50%
PCA Sweep3/4
SERIES
90%
90%
GAME 1
62%
62%
GAME 2
34%
34%
GAME 3
64%
64%
Consensus3/4
SERIES
70%
70%
GAME 1
62%
62%
GAME 2
36%
36%
GAME 3
59%
59%
THURSDAY
April 23, 2026
6 SERIESLCK
08:00 UTC
HANJIN BRION
0
-
2
Dplus KIAFastTree3/3
SERIES
78%
78%
GAME 1
67%
67%
GAME 2
63%
63%
LightGBM3/3
SERIES
61%
61%
GAME 1
64%
64%
GAME 2
60%
60%
PCA Sweep2/2
SERIES
72%
72%
GAME 1
60%
60%
GAME 2
53%
53%
Consensus3/3
SERIES
71%
71%
GAME 1
64%
64%
GAME 2
59%
59%
LPL
09:00 UTC
LGD GAMING
2
-
0
EDWARD GAMINGFastTree0/1
SERIES
33%
33%
LightGBM0/1
SERIES
35%
35%
PCA Sweep0/1
SERIES
42%
42%
Consensus0/1
SERIES
37%
37%
LCK
10:00 UTC
DN SOOPers
0
-
2
Gen.G EsportsFastTree3/3
SERIES
94%
94%
GAME 1
73%
73%
GAME 2
73%
73%
LightGBM3/3
SERIES
95%
95%
GAME 1
71%
71%
GAME 2
71%
71%
PCA Sweep3/3
SERIES
82%
82%
GAME 1
75%
75%
GAME 2
76%
76%
Consensus3/3
SERIES
90%
90%
GAME 1
73%
73%
GAME 2
73%
73%
LPL
11:00 UTC
Shenzhen NINJAS IN PYJAMAS
2
-
0
BILIBILI GAMINGFastTree0/1
SERIES
91%
91%
LightGBM0/1
SERIES
97%
97%
PCA Sweep0/1
SERIES
65%
65%
Consensus0/1
SERIES
85%
85%
LES
15:00 UTC
Movistar KOI Fénix
2
-
0
LUA GamingFastTree2/2
SERIES
78%
78%
GAME 1
67%
67%
GAME 2
53%
53%
LightGBM3/3
SERIES
94%
94%
GAME 1
76%
76%
GAME 2
38%
38%
PCA Sweep3/3
SERIES
86%
86%
GAME 1
73%
73%
GAME 2
39%
39%
Consensus3/3
SERIES
86%
86%
GAME 1
72%
72%
GAME 2
44%
44%
LES
18:00 UTC
GIANTX ITERO
0
-
2
Heretics AcademyFastTree1/2
GAME 1
42%
42%
GAME 2
59%
59%
LightGBM2/2
GAME 1
55%
55%
GAME 2
61%
61%
PCA Sweep0/2
GAME 1
22%
22%
GAME 2
28%
28%
Consensus0/1
GAME 1
41%
41%
GAME 2
51%
51%
FRIDAY
April 24, 2026
6 SERIESLCK
08:00 UTC
BNK FEARX
0
-
2
kt RolsterFastTree1/2
SERIES
87%
87%
GAME 1
40%
40%
GAME 2
53%
53%
LightGBM--
SERIES
53%
53%
GAME 1
47%
47%
GAME 2
52%
52%
PCA Sweep3/3
SERIES
86%
86%
GAME 1
57%
57%
GAME 2
68%
68%
Consensus2/2
SERIES
76%
76%
GAME 1
47%
47%
GAME 2
57%
57%
LPL
09:00 UTC
Oh My God
0
-
2
Suzhou LNG EsportsFastTree1/1
SERIES
79%
79%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES
91%
91%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES
76%
76%
Consensus1/1
SERIES
82%
82%
LCK
10:00 UTC
KIWOOM DRX
0
-
2
Hanwha Life EsportsFastTree3/3
SERIES
87%
87%
GAME 1
76%
76%
GAME 2
76%
76%
LightGBM3/3
SERIES
98%
98%
GAME 1
72%
72%
GAME 2
72%
72%
PCA Sweep3/3
SERIES
88%
88%
GAME 1
80%
80%
GAME 2
80%
80%
Consensus3/3
SERIES
91%
91%
GAME 1
76%
76%
GAME 2
76%
76%
LPL
11:00 UTC
Beijing JDG Esports
2
-
0
Invictus GamingFastTree1/1
SERIES
56%
56%
LightGBM0/1
SERIES
40%
40%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES
64%
64%
Consensus--
SERIES
53%
53%
LEC
15:00 UTC
Shifters
0
-
2
FnaticFastTree0/1
SERIES
45%
45%
GAME 1
46%
46%
GAME 2
39%
39%
LightGBM0/2
SERIES
24%
24%
GAME 1
51%
51%
GAME 2
39%
39%
PCA Sweep0/3
SERIES
30%
30%
GAME 1
36%
36%
GAME 2
27%
27%
Consensus0/3
SERIES
33%
33%
GAME 1
44%
44%
GAME 2
35%
35%
LEC
18:00 UTC
Natus Vincere
0
-
2
Karmine CorpFastTree2/2
SERIES
68%
68%
GAME 1
61%
61%
GAME 2
51%
51%
LightGBM2/3
SERIES
44%
44%
GAME 1
61%
61%
GAME 2
56%
56%
PCA Sweep3/3
SERIES
59%
59%
GAME 1
69%
69%
GAME 2
60%
60%
Consensus3/3
SERIES
57%
57%
GAME 1
63%
63%
GAME 2
55%
55%
SATURDAY
April 25, 2026
11 SERIESLPL
07:00 UTC
TOP ESPORTS
2
-
0
Shenzhen NINJAS IN PYJAMASFastTree0/1
SERIES
43%
43%
LightGBM0/1
SERIES
37%
37%
PCA Sweep0/1
SERIES
21%
21%
Consensus0/1
SERIES
34%
34%
LCK
08:00 UTC
HANJIN BRION
0
-
2
T1FastTree3/3
SERIES
80%
80%
GAME 1
68%
68%
GAME 2
74%
74%
LightGBM3/3
SERIES
85%
85%
GAME 1
57%
57%
GAME 2
68%
68%
PCA Sweep3/3
SERIES
89%
89%
GAME 1
67%
67%
GAME 2
75%
75%
Consensus3/3
SERIES
85%
85%
GAME 1
64%
64%
GAME 2
72%
72%
LPL
09:00 UTC
Xi'an Team WE
0
-
2
Beijing JDG EsportsFastTree1/1
SERIES
18%
18%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES
10%
10%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES
10%
10%
Consensus1/1
SERIES
13%
13%
LCK
10:00 UTC
Dplus KIA
2
-
0
DN SOOPersFastTree3/3
SERIES
78%
78%
GAME 1
74%
74%
GAME 2
74%
74%
LightGBM3/3
SERIES
93%
93%
GAME 1
74%
74%
GAME 2
74%
74%
PCA Sweep3/3
SERIES
75%
75%
GAME 1
68%
68%
GAME 2
71%
71%
Consensus3/3
SERIES
82%
82%
GAME 1
72%
72%
GAME 2
73%
73%
LPL
11:00 UTC
WeiboGaming
1
-
2
Anyone's LegendFastTree1/1
SERIES
21%
21%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES
22%
22%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES
8%
8%
Consensus1/1
SERIES
17%
17%
LEC
15:00 UTC
Natus Vincere
2
-
1
FnaticFastTree1/4
SERIES
89%
89%
GAME 1
40%
40%
GAME 2
43%
43%
GAME 3
43%
43%
LightGBM1/2
SERIES
72%
72%
GAME 1
37%
37%
GAME 2
52%
52%
GAME 3
52%
52%
PCA Sweep3/4
SERIES
94%
94%
GAME 1
30%
30%
GAME 2
63%
63%
GAME 3
62%
62%
Consensus1/2
SERIES
85%
85%
GAME 1
36%
36%
GAME 2
52%
52%
GAME 3
52%
52%
CBLOL
16:00 UTC
LOS
0
-
2
RED Canids KalungaFastTree2/3
SERIES
68%
68%
GAME 1
29%
29%
GAME 2
32%
32%
LightGBM2/3
SERIES
55%
55%
GAME 1
30%
30%
GAME 2
35%
35%
PCA Sweep2/3
SERIES
68%
68%
GAME 1
29%
29%
GAME 2
36%
36%
Consensus2/3
SERIES
64%
64%
GAME 1
29%
29%
GAME 2
34%
34%
LEC
18:00 UTC
Karmine Corp
2
-
1
ShiftersFastTree3/4
SERIES
87%
87%
GAME 1
75%
75%
GAME 2
27%
27%
GAME 3
72%
72%
LightGBM3/4
SERIES
92%
92%
GAME 1
75%
75%
GAME 2
29%
29%
GAME 3
74%
74%
PCA Sweep3/4
SERIES
92%
92%
GAME 1
79%
79%
GAME 2
25%
25%
GAME 3
79%
79%
Consensus3/4
SERIES
90%
90%
GAME 1
76%
76%
GAME 2
27%
27%
GAME 3
75%
75%
CBLOL
19:00 UTC
paiN Gaming
0
-
2
FluxoFastTree3/3
SERIES
74%
74%
GAME 1
72%
72%
GAME 2
68%
68%
LightGBM1/2
SERIES
37%
37%
GAME 1
64%
64%
GAME 2
54%
54%
PCA Sweep3/3
SERIES
75%
75%
GAME 1
70%
70%
GAME 2
62%
62%
Consensus3/3
SERIES
62%
62%
GAME 1
69%
69%
GAME 2
62%
62%
LCS
20:00 UTC
Dignitas
0
-
2
FlyQuestFastTree2/2
SERIES
86%
86%
GAME 1
60%
60%
GAME 2
51%
51%
LightGBM2/2
SERIES
80%
80%
GAME 1
62%
62%
GAME 2
52%
52%
PCA Sweep3/3
SERIES
90%
90%
GAME 1
69%
69%
GAME 2
65%
65%
Consensus3/3
SERIES
85%
85%
GAME 1
63%
63%
GAME 2
56%
56%
LCS
23:00 UTC
Shopify Rebellion
0
-
2
Cloud9 KiaFastTree3/3
SERIES
88%
88%
GAME 1
75%
75%
GAME 2
70%
70%
LightGBM3/3
SERIES
97%
97%
GAME 1
74%
74%
GAME 2
71%
71%
PCA Sweep3/3
SERIES
91%
91%
GAME 1
79%
79%
GAME 2
76%
76%
Consensus3/3
SERIES
92%
92%
GAME 1
76%
76%
GAME 2
72%
72%
SUNDAY
April 26, 2026
10 SERIESLCK
08:00 UTC
BNK FEARX
0
-
2
T1FastTree2/3
SERIES
37%
37%
GAME 1
61%
61%
GAME 2
60%
60%
LightGBM2/2
SERIES
55%
55%
GAME 1
62%
62%
GAME 2
59%
59%
PCA Sweep3/3
SERIES
64%
64%
GAME 1
67%
67%
GAME 2
64%
64%
Consensus2/2
SERIES
52%
52%
GAME 1
63%
63%
GAME 2
61%
61%
LPL
09:00 UTC
Ultra Prime
2
-
0
LGD GAMINGFastTree0/1
SERIES
13%
13%
LightGBM0/1
SERIES
3%
3%
PCA Sweep0/1
SERIES
16%
16%
Consensus0/1
SERIES
11%
11%
LCK
10:00 UTC
NONGSHIM RED FORCE
0
-
2
Gen.G EsportsFastTree3/3
SERIES
9%
9%
GAME 1
28%
28%
GAME 2
27%
27%
LightGBM3/3
SERIES
13%
13%
GAME 1
35%
35%
GAME 2
36%
36%
PCA Sweep3/3
SERIES
11%
11%
GAME 1
25%
25%
GAME 2
28%
28%
Consensus3/3
SERIES
11%
11%
GAME 1
29%
29%
GAME 2
30%
30%
LPL
11:00 UTC
WeiboGaming
0
-
2
BILIBILI GAMINGFastTree1/1
SERIES
10%
10%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES
11%
11%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES
18%
18%
Consensus1/1
SERIES
13%
13%
LEC
15:00 UTC
Natus Vincere
2
-
1
ShiftersFastTree2/3
SERIES
92%
92%
GAME 1
27%
27%
GAME 2
68%
68%
GAME 3
46%
46%
LightGBM2/3
SERIES
94%
94%
GAME 1
27%
27%
GAME 2
68%
68%
GAME 3
46%
46%
PCA Sweep3/4
SERIES
89%
89%
GAME 1
24%
24%
GAME 2
70%
70%
GAME 3
61%
61%
Consensus2/3
SERIES
91%
91%
GAME 1
26%
26%
GAME 2
69%
69%
GAME 3
51%
51%
CBLOL
16:00 UTC
FURIA
2
-
1
LOUDFastTree1/1
SERIES
86%
86%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES
66%
66%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES
63%
63%
Consensus1/1
SERIES
72%
72%
LEC
18:00 UTC
Karmine Corp
2
-
1
FnaticFastTree3/4
SERIES
90%
90%
GAME 1
32%
32%
GAME 2
66%
66%
GAME 3
65%
65%
LightGBM3/4
SERIES
92%
92%
GAME 1
29%
29%
GAME 2
66%
66%
GAME 3
61%
61%
PCA Sweep3/4
SERIES
87%
87%
GAME 1
26%
26%
GAME 2
69%
69%
GAME 3
62%
62%
Consensus3/4
SERIES
89%
89%
GAME 1
29%
29%
GAME 2
67%
67%
GAME 3
63%
63%
CBLOL
19:00 UTC
Vivo Keyd Stars
2
-
0
LEVIATÁNFastTree0/1
SERIES
38%
38%
GAME 1
47%
47%
GAME 2
51%
51%
LightGBM0/1
SERIES
47%
47%
GAME 1
43%
43%
GAME 2
49%
49%
PCA Sweep2/2
SERIES
69%
69%
GAME 1
60%
60%
GAME 2
48%
48%
Consensus--
SERIES
51%
51%
GAME 1
50%
50%
GAME 2
49%
49%
LCS
20:00 UTC
Disguised
0
-
2
LYONFastTree3/3
SERIES
90%
90%
GAME 1
66%
66%
GAME 2
67%
67%
LightGBM3/3
SERIES
67%
67%
GAME 1
60%
60%
GAME 2
62%
62%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES
94%
94%
GAME 1
50%
50%
GAME 2
45%
45%
Consensus3/3
SERIES
84%
84%
GAME 1
59%
59%
GAME 2
59%
59%
LCS
23:00 UTC
Team Liquid Alienware
2
-
1
SentinelsFastTree0/1
SERIES
48%
48%
GAME 1
48%
48%
GAME 2
57%
57%
GAME 3
48%
48%
LightGBM1/2
SERIES
23%
23%
GAME 1
57%
57%
GAME 2
50%
50%
GAME 3
46%
46%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES
43%
43%
GAME 1
52%
52%
GAME 2
52%
52%
GAME 3
52%
52%
Consensus1/1
SERIES
38%
38%
GAME 1
52%
52%
GAME 2
53%
53%
GAME 3
49%
49%