RIFTCAST
Weekly model report
May 4 — May 10, 2026
Last completed week · all leagues
27 evaluated series
Weekly overview
Series and game accuracy across every prediction evaluated this week.
FastTree
Series accuracy
73.1%
19 / 26
Game accuracy
70.0%
35 / 50
LightGBM
Series accuracy
81.8%
18 / 22
Game accuracy
70.5%
31 / 44
PCA Sweep
Series accuracy
77.8%
21 / 27
Game accuracy
70.6%
36 / 51
Consensus
Series accuracy
80.0%
20 / 25
Game accuracy
73.9%
34 / 46
Per-market performance
Accuracy across every settled prediction, plus flat-stake ROI on the value engine's positive-EV picks — broken down by market.
FastTree
| Market | Accuracy | ROI |
|---|---|---|
| Series Winner | 69% 18/26 | -- |
| Game Winner | 70% 35/50 | -- |
| Series Handicap | -- | -- |
| Total Maps | -- | -- |
| Exact Score | -- | -- |
| Total | 70% 53/76 | -- |
LightGBM
| Market | Accuracy | ROI |
|---|---|---|
| Series Winner | 77% 17/22 | -- |
| Game Winner | 70% 31/44 | -- |
| Series Handicap | -- | -- |
| Total Maps | -- | -- |
| Exact Score | -- | -- |
| Total | 73% 48/66 | -- |
PCA Sweep
| Market | Accuracy | ROI |
|---|---|---|
| Series Winner | 74% 20/27 | -- |
| Game Winner | 71% 36/51 | -- |
| Series Handicap | -- | -- |
| Total Maps | -- | -- |
| Exact Score | -- | -- |
| Total | 72% 56/78 | -- |
Consensus
| Market | Accuracy | ROI |
|---|---|---|
| Series Winner | 76% 19/25 | -- |
| Game Winner | 74% 34/46 | -- |
| Series Handicap | -- | -- |
| Total Maps | -- | -- |
| Exact Score | -- | -- |
| Total | 75% 53/71 | -- |
Match results
27 completed series with evaluated predictions, grouped by match day.
MONDAY
May 4, 2026
4 SERIESLJL
08:00 UTC
Arneb
1
-
2
Rising GamingFastTree3/3
SERIES
58%
58%
GAME 1
46%
46%
GAME 2
61%
61%
GAME 3
63%
63%
LightGBM3/3
SERIES
63%
63%
GAME 1
49%
49%
GAME 2
59%
59%
GAME 3
58%
58%
PCA Sweep2/4
SERIES
29%
29%
GAME 1
43%
43%
GAME 2
57%
57%
GAME 3
58%
58%
Consensus2/2
SERIES
58%
58%
GAME 1
46%
46%
GAME 2
59%
59%
GAME 3
60%
60%
LJL
11:00 UTC
RAYN Clocks
0
-
2
UWinksFastTree0/3
SERIES
50%
50%
GAME 1
45%
45%
GAME 2
44%
44%
LightGBM--
SERIES
54%
54%
GAME 1
54%
54%
GAME 2
54%
54%
PCA Sweep1/2
SERIES
50%
50%
GAME 1
46%
46%
GAME 2
45%
45%
Consensus--
SERIES
57%
57%
GAME 1
48%
48%
GAME 2
47%
47%
LEC
15:00 UTC
Team Vitality
2
-
1
FnaticFastTree3/4
SERIES
82%
82%
GAME 1
35%
35%
GAME 2
63%
63%
GAME 3
61%
61%
LightGBM3/4
SERIES
75%
75%
GAME 1
37%
37%
GAME 2
60%
60%
GAME 3
63%
63%
PCA Sweep3/4
SERIES
80%
80%
GAME 1
25%
25%
GAME 2
69%
69%
GAME 3
69%
69%
Consensus3/4
SERIES
79%
79%
GAME 1
33%
33%
GAME 2
64%
64%
GAME 3
64%
64%
LEC
17:15 UTC
Movistar KOI
2
-
1
ShiftersFastTree2/3
SERIES
83%
83%
GAME 1
35%
35%
GAME 2
66%
66%
GAME 3
50%
50%
LightGBM2/3
SERIES
74%
74%
GAME 1
40%
40%
GAME 2
61%
61%
GAME 3
55%
55%
PCA Sweep3/4
SERIES
79%
79%
GAME 1
31%
31%
GAME 2
71%
71%
GAME 3
58%
58%
Consensus2/3
SERIES
79%
79%
GAME 1
35%
35%
GAME 2
66%
66%
GAME 3
54%
54%
WEDNESDAY
May 6, 2026
4 SERIESLCK
08:00 UTC
NONGSHIM RED FORCE
0
-
2
Gen.G EsportsFastTree3/3
SERIES
86%
86%
GAME 1
71%
71%
GAME 2
71%
71%
LightGBM3/3
SERIES
80%
80%
GAME 1
75%
75%
GAME 2
76%
76%
PCA Sweep3/3
SERIES
83%
83%
GAME 1
72%
72%
GAME 2
76%
76%
Consensus3/3
SERIES
86%
86%
GAME 1
73%
73%
GAME 2
74%
74%
LCK
10:00 UTC
DN SOOPers
0
-
2
Hanwha Life EsportsFastTree3/3
SERIES
86%
86%
GAME 1
75%
75%
GAME 2
75%
75%
LightGBM3/3
SERIES
80%
80%
GAME 1
76%
76%
GAME 2
76%
76%
PCA Sweep3/3
SERIES
83%
83%
GAME 1
73%
73%
GAME 2
73%
73%
Consensus3/3
SERIES
86%
86%
GAME 1
74%
74%
GAME 2
74%
74%
LJL
11:00 UTC
Arneb
2
-
0
RAYN ClocksFastTree0/1
SERIES
44%
44%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES
65%
65%
PCA Sweep1/1
SERIES
67%
67%
Consensus1/1
SERIES
60%
60%
LES
15:00 UTC
LUA Gaming
2
-
1
FALKE ESPORTSFastTree0/1
SERIES
34%
34%
LightGBM0/1
SERIES
37%
37%
PCA Sweep0/1
SERIES
20%
20%
Consensus0/1
SERIES
33%
33%
THURSDAY
May 7, 2026
4 SERIESLCK
08:00 UTC
kt Rolster
2
-
0
Dplus KIAFastTree0/2
SERIES
43%
43%
GAME 1
55%
55%
GAME 2
40%
40%
LightGBM0/3
SERIES
43%
43%
GAME 1
45%
45%
GAME 2
28%
28%
PCA Sweep0/2
SERIES
28%
28%
GAME 1
47%
47%
GAME 2
39%
39%
Consensus0/2
SERIES
42%
42%
GAME 1
49%
49%
GAME 2
36%
36%
LCK
10:00 UTC
BNK FEARX
0
-
2
HANJIN BRIONFastTree0/2
SERIES
34%
34%
GAME 1
52%
52%
GAME 2
35%
35%
LightGBM1/2
SERIES
62%
62%
GAME 1
53%
53%
GAME 2
41%
41%
PCA Sweep0/2
SERIES
21%
21%
GAME 1
48%
48%
GAME 2
37%
37%
Consensus0/2
SERIES
43%
43%
GAME 1
51%
51%
GAME 2
38%
38%
LES
15:00 UTC
UB Alma Mater
0
-
2
UCAM Esports ClubFastTree3/3
SERIES
87%
87%
GAME 1
72%
72%
GAME 2
72%
72%
LightGBM3/3
SERIES
74%
74%
GAME 1
74%
74%
GAME 2
74%
74%
PCA Sweep3/3
SERIES
82%
82%
GAME 1
73%
73%
GAME 2
73%
73%
Consensus3/3
SERIES
85%
85%
GAME 1
73%
73%
GAME 2
73%
73%
LES
18:00 UTC
Heretics Academy
2
-
0
Movistar KOI FénixFastTree2/2
SERIES
67%
67%
GAME 1
52%
52%
GAME 2
58%
58%
LightGBM0/1
SERIES
54%
54%
GAME 1
44%
44%
GAME 2
49%
49%
PCA Sweep2/2
SERIES
78%
78%
GAME 1
54%
54%
GAME 2
58%
58%
Consensus1/1
SERIES
66%
66%
GAME 1
50%
50%
GAME 2
55%
55%
FRIDAY
May 8, 2026
4 SERIESLCK
08:00 UTC
T1
2
-
0
DN SOOPersFastTree3/3
SERIES
89%
89%
GAME 1
77%
77%
GAME 2
74%
74%
LightGBM3/3
SERIES
80%
80%
GAME 1
81%
81%
GAME 2
78%
78%
PCA Sweep3/3
SERIES
83%
83%
GAME 1
77%
77%
GAME 2
77%
77%
Consensus3/3
SERIES
86%
86%
GAME 1
78%
78%
GAME 2
76%
76%
LCK
10:00 UTC
Gen.G Esports
2
-
0
KIWOOM DRXFastTree2/2
SERIES
88%
88%
GAME 1
71%
71%
LightGBM2/2
SERIES
75%
75%
GAME 1
75%
75%
PCA Sweep2/2
SERIES
83%
83%
GAME 1
77%
77%
Consensus2/2
SERIES
85%
85%
GAME 1
74%
74%
LEC
14:00 UTC
G2 Esports
2
-
0
Karmine CorpFastTree3/3
SERIES
82%
82%
GAME 1
74%
74%
GAME 2
73%
73%
LightGBM2/2
SERIES
47%
47%
GAME 1
65%
65%
GAME 2
61%
61%
PCA Sweep3/3
SERIES
73%
73%
GAME 1
70%
70%
GAME 2
66%
66%
Consensus3/3
SERIES
66%
66%
GAME 1
69%
69%
GAME 2
67%
67%
LEC
17:00 UTC
Movistar KOI
2
-
0
GIANTXFastTree3/3
SERIES
66%
66%
GAME 1
70%
70%
GAME 2
69%
69%
LightGBM2/2
SERIES
55%
55%
GAME 1
57%
57%
GAME 2
60%
60%
PCA Sweep3/3
SERIES
50%
50%
GAME 1
57%
57%
GAME 2
61%
61%
Consensus3/3
SERIES
55%
55%
GAME 1
61%
61%
GAME 2
63%
63%
SATURDAY
May 9, 2026
5 SERIESLCK
08:00 UTC
kt Rolster
0
-
2
BNK FEARXFastTree0/3
SERIES
13%
13%
GAME 1
25%
25%
GAME 2
28%
28%
LightGBM0/3
SERIES
35%
35%
GAME 1
26%
26%
GAME 2
31%
31%
PCA Sweep0/3
SERIES
17%
17%
GAME 1
28%
28%
GAME 2
31%
31%
Consensus0/3
SERIES
20%
20%
GAME 1
26%
26%
GAME 2
30%
30%
LCK
10:00 UTC
HANJIN BRION
2
-
0
NONGSHIM RED FORCEFastTree3/3
SERIES
58%
58%
GAME 1
57%
57%
GAME 2
57%
57%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES
65%
65%
GAME 1
50%
50%
GAME 2
50%
50%
PCA Sweep3/3
SERIES
79%
79%
GAME 1
62%
62%
GAME 2
62%
62%
Consensus3/3
SERIES
67%
67%
GAME 1
56%
56%
GAME 2
56%
56%
LEC
14:00 UTC
GIANTX
0
-
2
G2 EsportsFastTree3/3
SERIES
85%
85%
GAME 1
72%
72%
GAME 2
77%
77%
LightGBM3/3
SERIES
75%
75%
GAME 1
70%
70%
GAME 2
77%
77%
PCA Sweep3/3
SERIES
80%
80%
GAME 1
68%
68%
GAME 2
73%
73%
Consensus3/3
SERIES
80%
80%
GAME 1
70%
70%
GAME 2
76%
76%
LEC
17:00 UTC
Karmine Corp
2
-
1
Movistar KOIFastTree3/4
SERIES
81%
81%
GAME 1
43%
43%
GAME 2
57%
57%
GAME 3
69%
69%
LightGBM2/2
SERIES
58%
58%
GAME 1
53%
53%
GAME 2
53%
53%
GAME 3
68%
68%
PCA Sweep3/4
SERIES
65%
65%
GAME 1
44%
44%
GAME 2
61%
61%
GAME 3
64%
64%
Consensus3/3
SERIES
58%
58%
GAME 1
47%
47%
GAME 2
57%
57%
GAME 3
67%
67%
LCS
23:00 UTC
Dignitas
0
-
2
DisguisedFastTree2/2
SERIES
58%
58%
GAME 1
46%
46%
GAME 2
60%
60%
LightGBM2/2
SERIES
66%
66%
GAME 1
49%
49%
GAME 2
60%
60%
PCA Sweep2/3
SERIES
73%
73%
GAME 1
40%
40%
GAME 2
56%
56%
Consensus2/2
SERIES
66%
66%
GAME 1
45%
45%
GAME 2
59%
59%
SUNDAY
May 10, 2026
6 SERIESLCK
08:00 UTC
T1
2
-
0
Dplus KIAFastTree2/2
SERIES
57%
57%
GAME 1
50%
50%
GAME 2
65%
65%
LightGBM2/2
SERIES
63%
63%
GAME 1
54%
54%
GAME 2
64%
64%
PCA Sweep2/2
SERIES
72%
72%
GAME 1
54%
54%
GAME 2
62%
62%
Consensus2/2
SERIES
58%
58%
GAME 1
53%
53%
GAME 2
64%
64%
LCK
10:00 UTC
KIWOOM DRX
1
-
2
Hanwha Life EsportsFastTree3/4
SERIES
88%
88%
GAME 1
25%
25%
GAME 2
67%
67%
GAME 3
71%
71%
LightGBM3/4
SERIES
63%
63%
GAME 1
24%
24%
GAME 2
70%
70%
GAME 3
67%
67%
PCA Sweep3/4
SERIES
81%
81%
GAME 1
21%
21%
GAME 2
66%
66%
GAME 3
69%
69%
Consensus3/4
SERIES
80%
80%
GAME 1
24%
24%
GAME 2
68%
68%
GAME 3
69%
69%
LEC
13:00 UTC
GIANTX
2
-
1
Karmine CorpFastTree1/4
SERIES
12%
12%
GAME 1
74%
74%
GAME 2
26%
26%
GAME 3
25%
25%
LightGBM1/4
SERIES
34%
34%
GAME 1
73%
73%
GAME 2
25%
25%
GAME 3
24%
24%
PCA Sweep1/4
SERIES
20%
20%
GAME 1
71%
71%
GAME 2
28%
28%
GAME 3
29%
29%
Consensus1/4
SERIES
21%
21%
GAME 1
73%
73%
GAME 2
26%
26%
GAME 3
26%
26%
LEC
16:00 UTC
G2 Esports
2
-
2
Movistar KOIFastTree2/3
SERIES
67%
GAME 1
25%
25%
GAME 2
73%
73%
LightGBM2/3
SERIES
64%
GAME 1
32%
32%
GAME 2
71%
71%
PCA Sweep2/3
SERIES
80%
GAME 1
28%
28%
GAME 2
64%
64%
Consensus2/3
SERIES
77%
GAME 1
29%
29%
GAME 2
69%
69%
LCS
20:00 UTC
FlyQuest
1
-
2
Cloud9 KiaFastTree3/4
SERIES
82%
82%
GAME 1
45%
45%
GAME 2
65%
65%
GAME 3
64%
64%
LightGBM3/4
SERIES
65%
65%
GAME 1
40%
40%
GAME 2
67%
67%
GAME 3
70%
70%
PCA Sweep3/4
SERIES
80%
80%
GAME 1
44%
44%
GAME 2
63%
63%
GAME 3
63%
63%
Consensus3/4
SERIES
78%
78%
GAME 1
43%
43%
GAME 2
65%
65%
GAME 3
66%
66%
LCS
23:00 UTC
Team Liquid Alienware
1
-
2
LYONFastTree2/3
SERIES
50%
50%
GAME 1
68%
68%
GAME 2
40%
40%
GAME 3
65%
65%
LightGBM2/2
SERIES
55%
55%
GAME 1
63%
63%
GAME 2
45%
45%
GAME 3
62%
62%
PCA Sweep3/3
SERIES
65%
65%
GAME 1
62%
62%
GAME 2
46%
46%
GAME 3
66%
66%
Consensus3/4
SERIES
59%
59%
GAME 1
65%
65%
GAME 2
44%
44%
GAME 3
64%
64%