Friday, Sep 18

LEC BO5 15:00 Bracket
FastTree · free modelLeanUpdated 1h ago
MKOI62.2% NAVI37.8%
market 1.40 · fair 1.61 fair 2.65 · market 2.75
Model agreement Unlock all four
50/50FastTree · 62.2% MKOI
Form 3–2 4–1 last five series
Gold 15 min +0.7k +0.3k season average
Head to head 5 1 2–0 in the last series
Consensus, LightGBM & PCA Sweep are Premium models Upgrade to Premium
ModelSeries winner Accuracy At this confidenceLEC ROI ROI on +EV picks
FastTreeBest for confidence
62.2 37.8
78%59/76
69%622/901 Claims 62.2% here · was right 69% of the time at this confidence (622/901)
−6.7%34/47 ?Return from a flat stake on every settled pick this model made on this market in this league, priced at closing market odds.34/47 picks
−5.3%10/16 ?Same flat-stake return in this league, counting only positive-EV picks - where the model's fair price beat the market line at close.10/16 picks
LightGBMBest +EV in LECBest ROI in LEC
Premium
75%56/75
68%681/1005
+2.5%37/50 ?Return from a flat stake on every settled pick this model made on this market in this league, priced at closing market odds.37/50 picks
+25.6%13/18 ?Same flat-stake return in this league, counting only positive-EV picks - where the model's fair price beat the market line at close.13/18 picks
PCA Sweep
Premium
76%57/75
67%690/1024
+0.8%38/51 ?Return from a flat stake on every settled pick this model made on this market in this league, priced at closing market odds.38/51 picks
+6.9%10/16 ?Same flat-stake return in this league, counting only positive-EV picks - where the model's fair price beat the market line at close.10/16 picks
ConsensusBest accuracy in LEC
Premium
79%58/73
69%679/991
−0.5%36/47 ?Return from a flat stake on every settled pick this model made on this market in this league, priced at closing market odds.36/47 picks
−3.0%6/10 ?Same flat-stake return in this league, counting only positive-EV picks - where the model's fair price beat the market line at close.6/10 picks
Accuracy and ROI are each model's record on past LEC matches on this market.
Best price market line MKOI1.40 NAVI2.75
Chance the market gives from the price, margin removed MKOI66.3% NAVI33.7%
Chance the models give FastTree only MKOI62.2% NAVI37.8%
Model Fair MKOI Edge @1.40 Fair NAVI Edge @2.75
FastTree1.61 −12.9% 2.65 +3.9%
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