Week preview · Sep 13–Sep 20, 2026
LEC - this week's matches, called by the models
Model performance for LEC?
Return on investment
Flat-stake ROI - the return from staking 1 unit on this model's picks at the closing market odds. ALL counts every priced prediction in this market; +EV counts only the picks that were positive-EV at that price (the ones the value engine stakes).
Series winner
10/16-5% ROI
Handicap
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Total maps
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Exact score
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- 1 series scheduled in LEC this week.
- Tightest matchup by Elo: Movistar KOI (#37) vs Natus Vincere (#24).
Friday, Sep 18
FastTree
· free model
Best models: LightGBM
+25.6%
LeanUpdated 1h ago
MKOI62.2%
NAVI37.8%
market 1.40 · fair 1.61
fair 2.65 · market 2.75
Model agreement
Unlock all four
50/50FastTree · 62.2% MKOI
Form
3–2
4–1
last five series
3–2
4–1
last five series
+0.7k
+0.3k
season average
Head to head
5
1
2–0 in the last series
5
1
2–0 in the last seriesModelSeries winner
Accuracy
At this confidenceLEC ROI
ROI on +EV picks
FastTreeBest for confidence
62.2
37.8
78%59/76
69%622/901
Claims 62.2% here · was right 69% of the time at this confidence (622/901)
−6.7%34/47
?Return from a flat stake on every settled pick this model made on this market in this league, priced at closing market odds.34/47 picks
−5.3%10/16
?Same flat-stake return in this league, counting only positive-EV picks - where the model's fair price beat the market line at close.10/16 picks
LightGBMBest +EV in LECBest ROI in LEC
75%56/75
68%681/1005
+2.5%37/50
?Return from a flat stake on every settled pick this model made on this market in this league, priced at closing market odds.37/50 picks
+25.6%13/18
?Same flat-stake return in this league, counting only positive-EV picks - where the model's fair price beat the market line at close.13/18 picks
PCA Sweep
76%57/75
67%690/1024
+0.8%38/51
?Return from a flat stake on every settled pick this model made on this market in this league, priced at closing market odds.38/51 picks
+6.9%10/16
?Same flat-stake return in this league, counting only positive-EV picks - where the model's fair price beat the market line at close.10/16 picks
ConsensusBest accuracy in LEC
79%58/73
69%679/991
−0.5%36/47
?Return from a flat stake on every settled pick this model made on this market in this league, priced at closing market odds.36/47 picks
−3.0%6/10
?Same flat-stake return in this league, counting only positive-EV picks - where the model's fair price beat the market line at close.6/10 picks
Accuracy and ROI are each model's record on past LEC matches on this market.
Best price
market line
MKOI1.40
NAVI2.75
MKOI1.40
NAVI2.75Chance the market gives
from the price, margin removed
MKOI66.3%
NAVI33.7%
MKOI66.3%
NAVI33.7%Chance the models give
FastTree only
MKOI62.2%
NAVI37.8%
MKOI62.2%
NAVI37.8%
Sign in to track this pickTracked picksSaved picks go to the Stake Tracker on your account page and settle automatically once the match finishes. Premium members also get an email when the models change their call on a tracked series winner pick before kickoff - you can switch that on or off in your Account settings.
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