Week preview · Sep 5–Sep 12, 2026

LES - this week's matches, called by the models

Model performance for LES? Return on investment Flat-stake ROI - the return from staking 1 unit on this model's picks at the closing market odds. ALL counts every priced prediction in this market; +EV counts only the picks that were positive-EV at that price (the ones the value engine stakes).
Series winner 4/7-20% ROI
Handicap ––
Total maps ––
Exact score ––
  • 1 series scheduled in LES this week.
  • Tightest matchup by Elo: Movistar KOI Fénix (#34) vs Heretics Academy (#42).

Sunday, Sep 6

LES BO5 10:00
Movistar KOI FénixMKF 1 - 0
VS
Heretics AcademyHRTS
FastTree · free modelLeanUpdated 1h ago
MKF40.8% HRTS59.2%
market 1.80 · fair 2.45 fair 1.69 · market 1.90
Model agreement Unlock all four
50/50FastTree · 59.2% HRTS
Form 5–0 3–2 last five series
Gold 15 min +2.4k +3.5k season average
Head to head 3 1 3–2 in the last series
Markets
Series Handicap Premium unlock to see the number Series Total maps Premium unlock to see the number Series Exact score Premium unlock to see the number Series Total kills Premium unlock to see the number
Consensus, LightGBM & PCA Sweep are Premium models Upgrade to Premium
ModelSeries winner Accuracy At this confidenceLES ROI ROI on +EV picks
FastTreeBest accuracy in LES
40.8 59.2
85%47/55
67%658/982 Claims 59.2% here · was right 67% of the time at this confidence (658/982)
−4.4%23/28 ?Return from a flat stake on every settled pick this model made on this market in this league, priced at closing market odds.23/28 picks
−19.6%4/7 ?Same flat-stake return in this league, counting only positive-EV picks - where the model's fair price beat the market line at close.4/7 picks
LightGBM
Premium
83%44/53
–
−13.6%22/29 ?Return from a flat stake on every settled pick this model made on this market in this league, priced at closing market odds.22/29 picks
−45.4%5/12 ?Same flat-stake return in this league, counting only positive-EV picks - where the model's fair price beat the market line at close.5/12 picks
PCA SweepBest ROI in LES
Premium
82%46/56
67%662/985
−4.3%24/30 ?Return from a flat stake on every settled pick this model made on this market in this league, priced at closing market odds.24/30 picks
−23.6%7/12 ?Same flat-stake return in this league, counting only positive-EV picks - where the model's fair price beat the market line at close.7/12 picks
ConsensusBest +EV in LESBest for confidence
Premium
85%46/54
68%651/954
−8.6%23/29 ?Return from a flat stake on every settled pick this model made on this market in this league, priced at closing market odds.23/29 picks
−10.6%6/9 ?Same flat-stake return in this league, counting only positive-EV picks - where the model's fair price beat the market line at close.6/9 picks
Accuracy and ROI are each model's record on past LES matches on this market.
Best price market line MKF1.80 HRTS1.90
Chance the market gives from the price, margin removed MKF51.4% HRTS48.6%
Chance the models give FastTree only MKF40.8% HRTS59.2%
Model Fair MKF Edge @1.80 Fair HRTS Edge @1.90
FastTree2.45 −26.6% 1.69 +12.6%
LightGBM Premium
PCA Sweep Premium
Consensus Premium
Line movement MKF 2.20 → 1.80 · HRTS 1.61 → 1.90 2
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LES standings

Full standings

Final table from LES 2026 Summer - the new split has no recorded results yet.

#TeamSeriesGamesGlobal Rating (Elo)
1 Movistar KOI Fenix 7–0 14–2 1565 #34 #34 on the global Elo leaderboard, across every tracked league. Click to open the full Rankings.
2 UCAM Esports 6–1 13–2 1400 #73 #73 on the global Elo leaderboard, across every tracked league. Click to open the full Rankings.
3 Team Heretics Academy 5–2 11–6 1497 #42 #42 on the global Elo leaderboard, across every tracked league. Click to open the full Rankings.
4 Barca eSports 4–3 9–7 1114 #180 #180 on the global Elo leaderboard, across every tracked league. Click to open the full Rankings.
5 GIANTX iTero 3–4 7–9 1147 #165 #165 on the global Elo leaderboard, across every tracked league. Click to open the full Rankings.
6 LUA Gaming 2–5 5–11 1016 #216 #216 on the global Elo leaderboard, across every tracked league. Click to open the full Rankings.
7 UB Alma Mater 1–6 3–12 876 #259 #259 on the global Elo leaderboard, across every tracked league. Click to open the full Rankings.
8 Falke Esports 0–7 1–14 830 #263 #263 on the global Elo leaderboard, across every tracked league. Click to open the full Rankings.
See every model's call on these matches LightGBM, PCA Sweep and Consensus predictions, value picks and premium markets.
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