RIFTCAST
Weekly model report
Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026
Last completed week · all leagues
13 evaluated series
Weekly overview
Series and game accuracy across every prediction evaluated this week.
FastTree
Series accuracy
40.0%
4 / 10
Game accuracy
54.5%
12 / 22
LightGBM
Series accuracy
50.0%
4 / 8
Game accuracy
55.6%
10 / 18
PCA Sweep
Series accuracy
42.9%
3 / 7
Game accuracy
55.6%
10 / 18
Consensus
Series accuracy
50.0%
5 / 10
Game accuracy
57.9%
11 / 19
Per-market performance
Accuracy across every settled prediction, plus flat-stake ROI on the value engine's positive-EV picks - broken down by market.
FastTree
| Market | Accuracy | ROI |
|---|---|---|
| Series Winner | 40% 4/10 | -- |
| Game Winner | 55% 12/22 | +22% 7 picks |
| Series Handicap | 60% 6/10 | +3% 5 picks |
| Total Maps | 64% 7/11 | -- |
| Exact Score | 27% 3/11 | -- |
| Total | 50% 32/64 | +14% +1.7u |
LightGBM
| Market | Accuracy | ROI |
|---|---|---|
| Series Winner | 50% 4/8 | -- |
| Game Winner | 56% 10/18 | +29% 6 picks |
| Series Handicap | 50% 5/10 | -8% 7 picks |
| Total Maps | 64% 7/11 | -- |
| Exact Score | 45% 5/11 | +175% 4 picks |
| Total | 53% 31/58 | +48% +8.1u |
PCA Sweep
| Market | Accuracy | ROI |
|---|---|---|
| Series Winner | 43% 3/7 | -- |
| Game Winner | 56% 10/18 | +29% 6 picks |
| Series Handicap | 60% 6/10 | +13% 7 picks |
| Total Maps | 64% 7/11 | -- |
| Exact Score | 18% 2/11 | -- |
| Total | 49% 28/57 | +20% +2.6u |
Consensus
| Market | Accuracy | ROI |
|---|---|---|
| Series Winner | 50% 5/10 | -- |
| Game Winner | 58% 11/19 | +29% 6 picks |
| Series Handicap | 60% 6/10 | +36% 7 picks |
| Total Maps | 64% 7/11 | -- |
| Exact Score | 27% 3/11 | -- |
| Total | 52% 32/61 | +33% +4.2u |
Match results
13 completed series with evaluated predictions, grouped by match day.
MONDAY
October 26, 2026
4 SERIESWorlds
17:00
CTBC Flying Oyster
0
-
1
T1FastTree2/2
SERIES
62%
62%
GAME 1
61%
61%
LightGBM2/2
SERIES
59%
59%
GAME 1
63%
63%
PCA Sweep2/2
SERIES
61%
61%
GAME 1
66%
66%
Consensus2/2
SERIES
61%
61%
GAME 1
63%
63%
Worlds
18:00
BILIBILI GAMING
1
-
0
Karmine CorpFastTree1/1
SERIES
52%
52%
GAME 1
56%
56%
LightGBM1/1
SERIES
62%
62%
GAME 1
54%
54%
PCA Sweep--
SERIES
52%
52%
GAME 1
55%
55%
Consensus1/1
SERIES
55%
55%
GAME 1
55%
55%
Worlds
19:00
LOS
2
-
0
Team Secret WhalesFastTree0/3
SERIES
38%
38%
GAME 1
40%
40%
GAME 2
40%
40%
LightGBM0/2
SERIES
52%
52%
GAME 1
37%
37%
GAME 2
38%
38%
PCA Sweep0/3
SERIES
39%
39%
GAME 1
34%
34%
GAME 2
35%
35%
Consensus0/3
SERIES
43%
43%
GAME 1
37%
37%
GAME 2
38%
38%
Worlds
22:00
Team Liquid Alienware
2
-
0
Anyone's LegendFastTree1/3
SERIES
39%
39%
GAME 1
38%
38%
GAME 2
57%
57%
LightGBM0/2
SERIES
29%
29%
GAME 1
36%
36%
GAME 2
50%
50%
PCA Sweep0/2
SERIES
44%
44%
GAME 1
34%
34%
GAME 2
50%
50%
Consensus0/2
SERIES
38%
38%
GAME 1
36%
36%
GAME 2
52%
52%
WEDNESDAY
October 28, 2026
2 SERIESWorlds
20:00
Movistar KOI
0
-
2
T1FastTree3/3
SERIES
59%
59%
GAME 1
61%
61%
GAME 2
61%
61%
LightGBM3/3
SERIES
62%
62%
GAME 1
64%
64%
GAME 2
64%
64%
PCA Sweep2/2
SERIES
50%
50%
GAME 1
66%
66%
GAME 2
66%
66%
Consensus3/3
SERIES
56%
56%
GAME 1
63%
63%
GAME 2
63%
63%
Worlds
23:00
LYON
1
-
2
Invictus GamingFastTree0/2
SERIES
48%
48%
GAME 1
44%
44%
GAME 2
40%
40%
GAME 3
45%
45%
LightGBM0/1
SERIES
51%
51%
GAME 1
47%
47%
GAME 2
45%
45%
GAME 3
50%
50%
PCA Sweep0/1
SERIES
51%
51%
GAME 1
46%
46%
GAME 2
45%
45%
GAME 3
45%
45%
Consensus0/1
SERIES
50%
50%
GAME 1
46%
46%
GAME 2
43%
43%
GAME 3
47%
47%
THURSDAY
October 29, 2026
2 SERIESWorlds
20:00
CTBC Flying Oyster
0
-
2
Karmine CorpFastTree3/3
SERIES
70%
70%
GAME 1
65%
65%
GAME 2
58%
58%
LightGBM3/3
SERIES
64%
64%
GAME 1
72%
72%
GAME 2
57%
57%
PCA Sweep3/3
SERIES
66%
66%
GAME 1
71%
71%
GAME 2
60%
60%
Consensus3/3
SERIES
66%
66%
GAME 1
69%
69%
GAME 2
58%
58%
Worlds
23:00
BILIBILI GAMING
1
-
2
TOP ESPORTSFastTree1/3
SERIES
33%
33%
GAME 1
62%
62%
GAME 2
33%
33%
GAME 3
49%
49%
LightGBM1/3
SERIES
26%
26%
GAME 1
64%
64%
GAME 2
35%
35%
GAME 3
51%
51%
PCA Sweep1/3
SERIES
30%
30%
GAME 1
65%
65%
GAME 2
34%
34%
GAME 3
50%
50%
Consensus1/3
SERIES
30%
30%
GAME 1
64%
64%
GAME 2
34%
34%
GAME 3
50%
50%
FRIDAY
October 30, 2026
2 SERIESWorlds
20:00
Team Liquid Alienware
1
-
2
LOSFastTree0/3
SERIES
32%
32%
GAME 1
54%
54%
GAME 2
42%
42%
GAME 3
40%
40%
LightGBM0/2
SERIES
41%
41%
GAME 1
51%
51%
GAME 2
49%
49%
GAME 3
35%
35%
PCA Sweep0/2
SERIES
40%
40%
GAME 1
51%
51%
GAME 2
48%
48%
GAME 3
35%
35%
Consensus0/2
SERIES
38%
38%
GAME 1
52%
52%
GAME 2
46%
46%
GAME 3
37%
37%
Worlds
23:00
G2 Esports
0
-
2
Hanwha Life EsportsFastTree1/3
SERIES
43%
43%
GAME 1
42%
42%
GAME 2
60%
60%
LightGBM0/1
SERIES
49%
49%
GAME 1
40%
40%
GAME 2
53%
53%
PCA Sweep0/1
SERIES
48%
48%
GAME 1
40%
40%
GAME 2
54%
54%
Consensus1/2
SERIES
47%
47%
GAME 1
41%
41%
GAME 2
56%
56%
SATURDAY
October 31, 2026
3 SERIESWorlds
17:00
Movistar KOI
0
-
2
Karmine CorpFastTree3/3
SERIES
70%
70%
GAME 1
64%
64%
GAME 2
65%
65%
LightGBM2/2
SERIES
54%
54%
GAME 1
72%
72%
GAME 2
72%
72%
PCA Sweep3/3
SERIES
60%
60%
GAME 1
70%
70%
GAME 2
70%
70%
Consensus3/3
SERIES
61%
61%
GAME 1
68%
68%
GAME 2
69%
69%
Worlds
20:00
LOS
1
-
2
LYONFastTree0/2
SERIES
43%
43%
GAME 1
45%
45%
GAME 2
41%
41%
GAME 3
55%
55%
LightGBM0/2
SERIES
34%
34%
GAME 1
53%
53%
GAME 2
41%
41%
GAME 3
47%
47%
PCA Sweep0/1
SERIES
46%
46%
GAME 1
46%
46%
GAME 2
44%
44%
GAME 3
54%
54%
Consensus0/2
SERIES
41%
41%
GAME 1
48%
48%
GAME 2
42%
42%
GAME 3
52%
52%
Worlds
23:00
Hanwha Life Esports
0
-
2
BILIBILI GAMINGFastTree1/1
SERIES
45%
45%
GAME 1
55%
55%
GAME 2
56%
56%
LightGBM2/2
SERIES
53%
53%
GAME 1
59%
59%
GAME 2
59%
59%
PCA Sweep2/2
SERIES
47%
47%
GAME 1
58%
58%
GAME 2
62%
62%
Consensus2/2
SERIES
48%
48%
GAME 1
57%
57%
GAME 2
59%
59%