RIFTCAST
LEAGUE OF LEGENDS ESPORTS PREDICTIONS
16,378
Matches
453
Teams
230
Tournaments
41,320
Settled Picks
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Four machine-learning models. Every prediction published before the match, graded in public.

Verified market performance· Featured markets · +EV ROI Filtered settled picksFeatured markets are fixed for each model. ROI uses settled published +EV picks and recorded profit at a one-unit stake. Negative-ROI leagues are excluded separately for each model and market. The expandable lists show markets the model leads, with at least 50 settled picks, ordered by pick count.
Series Winner
+29.0%
153 picks
FastTree
99/153 landed +44.3u
65% hit rate
Series Total Kills (Prelive)
+17.2%
178 picks
LightGBM
114/178 landed +30.6u
64% hit rate
Player Total Kills (Prelive)
+29.6%
129 picks
PCA Sweep
85/129 landed +38.2u
66% hit rate
Game Winner
+19.0%
179 picks
Consensus
116/179 landed +34.1u
65% hit rate
Worlds 2026
World Championship

Worlds 2026

Knockouts · Next: DK vs BLG in 20h 14m
Bracket, qualified teams, power rankings and winner projections
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Models

Pick a market to scope the comparison, then a model to drive the drill-down. Priced at the latest prelive market price.

trained 23h ago
Market
PCA Sweep Hyperparameter sweep · PCA
Filters
Exclude non-profitable leaguesWhen enabled leagues with negative +EV ROI are excluded
Best league markets for PCA Sweep
#1 Exact Score MSI +412.5% ROI 1/8
#2 Exact Score CD +101.7% ROI 3/7
#3 Total Maps LPL +98.7% ROI 8/9
#4 Player Total Kills (After Draft) LCK +75.9% ROI 13/15
#5 Exact Score LCS +72.1% ROI 14/29
Market comparison PCA Sweep every market · positive-EV picks · all leagues · Exclude non-profitable leagues PCA Sweep · Game Winner+24.3u
MarketFastTreeLightGBMPCA SweepConsensus
Predicted from team form before champion selection. Includes game 1 and later games; each game retains its own prediction and market line.
Re-priced from the locked champion draft just before the game starts - champion kill tendencies are added on top of team form.
Game 1 only, predicted from player form before the series starts - the prediction that exists when the market line is first posted.
Re-priced from the locked champion draft, for any game in the series - the champion each player actually has is added on top of their form.
ROI per market at the latest prelive market price · best model in each row is outlined · click a row to scope the tab to that market
DateMatch · OutcomeModel edge vs pricePick · PriceNet
Latest 5 of 110 positive-EV PCA Sweep picks on Game Winner · outcome shows the winner and the settled score · model edge is the EV against the captured price 1 / 22
LeagueRecordAccuracyROI+EV Record+EV ROI
TCL 19/25 81% +10.3% 7/9 +43.0%
MSI 38/52 73% +12.6% 9/17 +36.6%
CD 21/26 71% +13.9% 7/9 +29.3%
LCS 78/102 75% +14.0% 32/43 +22.2%
CBLOL 49/73 71% +0.3% 20/32 +6.2%
LEC 67/100 68% −3.2% 21/34 −0.2%
WSCI 10/19 60% −3.0% 3/10 −2.4%
LES 52/69 72% +1.3% 17/28 −3.8%
NACL 48/76 61% −6.2% 32/52 −7.4%
LCK 85/138 60% −4.4% 38/73 −7.5%
Worlds 23/42 56% −17.4% 7/16 −8.0%
LCP 27/36 73% +10.5% 7/12 −10.7%
LFL 15/27 55% −23.8% 8/15 −28.9%
LCK CL 5/10 60% −14.7% 2/6 −35.0%
LJL 4/9 65% −31.9% 1/4 −43.8%
EMEA Masters 3/4 67% +2.0% 0/1 −100.0%
Ordered by +EV ROI on Game Winner · accuracy on settled predictions · +EV ROI from positive-EV picks at the latest prelive market price.
Past results do not guarantee future returns. For analysis only.