RIFTCAST
LEAGUE OF LEGENDS ESPORTS PREDICTIONS
15,859
Matches
450
Teams
230
Tournaments
30,372
Settled Picks
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Four machine-learning models. Every prediction published before the match, graded in public.

Verified market performance· Distinct qualified markets · +EV ROI distinct profitable markets · 50+ picksEach tile shows a distinct market where that model has a profitable +EV ROI record over at least 50 settled picks. When several models qualify on the same market, only one tile may use it; the rest stay neutral unless another distinct market qualifies.
Series Winner
+28.0%
91 picks
FastTree
65/91 landed +25.5u
71% hit rate
Player Total Kills (Prelive)
+34.4%
83 picks
LightGBM
57/83 landed +28.5u
69% hit rate
Exact Score
+50.7%
146 picks
PCA Sweep
55/146 landed +74.0u
38% hit rate
Series Total Kills (Prelive)
+33.7%
52 picks
Consensus
38/52 landed +17.5u
73% hit rate
Worlds 2026
World Championship

Worlds 2026

Play-In starts in 24 days · 13 of 19 teams qualified
Bracket, qualified teams, power rankings and winner projections
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Models

Pick a market to scope the comparison, then a model to drive the drill-down. Priced at the latest prelive market price.

Market
Consensus Calibrated blend of all three
Filters
Exclude non-profitable leaguesWhen enabled leagues with negative +EV ROI are excluded
Best league markets for Consensus
#1 Exact Score MSI +412.5% ROI 1/8
#2 Series Winner MSI +160.0% ROI 2/5
#3 Exact Score CD +148.1% ROI 4/7
#4 Total Maps LPL +119.0% ROI 6/7
#5 Exact Score LCS +78.9% ROI 10/17
Market comparison Consensus every market · positive-EV picks · all leagues · Exclude non-profitable leagues Consensus · Game Winner+26.3u
MarketFastTreeLightGBMPCA SweepConsensus
Predicted from team form before champion selection. Includes game 1 and later games; each game retains its own prediction and market line.
Re-priced from the locked champion draft just before the game starts - champion kill tendencies are added on top of team form.
Game 1 only, predicted from player form before the series starts - the prediction that exists when the market line is first posted.
Re-priced from the locked champion draft, for any game in the series - the champion each player actually has is added on top of their form.
ROI per market at the latest prelive market price · best model in each row is outlined · click a row to scope the tab to that market
DateMatch · OutcomeModel edge vs pricePick · PriceNet
Latest 5 of 160 positive-EV Consensus picks on Game Winner · outcome shows the winner and the settled score · model edge is the EV against the captured price 1 / 32
LeagueRecordAccuracyROI+EV Record+EV ROI
CD 21/26 74% +13.9% 8/9 +45.3%
MSI 41/58 71% +15.8% 10/20 +42.8%
TCL 20/26 81% +15.2% 7/10 +39.6%
LES 51/64 76% +6.7% 18/26 +10.1%
LCS 62/82 75% +9.6% 27/40 +9.7%
LCP 28/38 73% +8.5% 8/12 +7.8%
LJL 7/11 67% −6.3% 2/4 +6.3%
CBLOL 52/75 72% +4.3% 24/39 +5.2%
LCK CL 4/7 67% +0.0% 2/4 −2.5%
LEC 71/105 69% −2.5% 22/37 −4.9%
NACL 48/73 64% −2.3% 23/37 −6.7%
LFL 15/22 65% −7.7% 9/13 −7.5%
LCK 81/134 60% −7.7% 39/73 −9.1%
EMEA Masters 0/3 0% −100.0% 0/1 −100.0%
Ordered by +EV ROI on Game Winner · accuracy on settled predictions · +EV ROI from positive-EV picks at the latest prelive market price.
Past results do not guarantee future returns. For analysis only.