Week preview · Sep 5–Sep 12, 2026
LCS - this week's matches, called by the models
Model performance for LCS?
Return on investment
Flat-stake ROI - the return from staking 1 unit on this model's picks at the closing market odds. ALL counts every priced prediction in this market; +EV counts only the picks that were positive-EV at that price (the ones the value engine stakes).
Series winner
7/12-9% ROI
Handicap
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Total maps
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Exact score
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- 4 series scheduled in LCS this week.
- Tightest matchup by Elo: Sentinels (#36) vs Cloud9 Kia (#45).
Saturday, Sep 5
FastTree
· free model
Best models: PCA Sweep
+18.8%
LeanUpdated 1h ago
SEN37.8%
C962.2%
market 2.62 · fair 2.65
fair 1.61 · market 1.44
Model agreement
Unlock all four
50/50FastTree · 62.2% C9
Form
3–2
4–1
last five series
3–2
4–1
last five series
Gold
15 min
−0.1k
+0.5k
season average
Head to head
2
3
2–0 in the last series
2
3
2–0 in the last seriesModelSeries winner
Accuracy
At this confidenceLCS ROI
ROI on +EV picks
FastTree
37.8
62.2
82%40/49
69%604/880
Claims 62.2% here · was right 69% of the time at this confidence (604/880)
−2.1%23/31
?Return from a flat stake on every settled pick this model made on this market in this league, priced at closing market odds.23/31 picks
−16.0%7/13
?Same flat-stake return in this league, counting only positive-EV picks - where the model's fair price beat the market line at close.7/13 picks
LightGBMBest ROI in LCS
86%43/50
–
+10.2%25/31
?Return from a flat stake on every settled pick this model made on this market in this league, priced at closing market odds.25/31 picks
+16.7%7/10
?Same flat-stake return in this league, counting only positive-EV picks - where the model's fair price beat the market line at close.7/10 picks
PCA SweepBest +EV in LCS
84%42/50
67%662/985
+9.9%25/31
?Return from a flat stake on every settled pick this model made on this market in this league, priced at closing market odds.25/31 picks
+18.8%12/16
?Same flat-stake return in this league, counting only positive-EV picks - where the model's fair price beat the market line at close.12/16 picks
ConsensusBest accuracy in LCSBest for confidence
88%43/49
70%593/851
+4.6%23/29
?Return from a flat stake on every settled pick this model made on this market in this league, priced at closing market odds.23/29 picks
−3.1%6/10
?Same flat-stake return in this league, counting only positive-EV picks - where the model's fair price beat the market line at close.6/10 picks
Accuracy and ROI are each model's record on past LCS matches on this market.
Line movement
SEN
2.75
→
2.62
·
C9
1.40
→
1.44
2
Line movement · SEN / C9
Aug 31 22:002.75
1.40
Sep 4 22:002.62 ▼
1.44 ▲
Sign in to track this pick
Tracked picksSaved picks go to the Stake Tracker on your account page and settle automatically once the match finishes. Premium members also get an email when the models change their call on a tracked series winner pick before kickoff - you can switch that on or off in your Account settings.
FastTree
· free model
Best models: PCA Sweep
+18.8%
High confidenceUpdated 1h ago
TLAW85.5%
DIG14.5%
market 1.03 · fair 1.17
fair 6.89 · market 10.00
Model agreement
Unlock all four
50/50FastTree · 85.5% TLAW
Form
4–1
0–5
last five series
4–1
0–5
last five series
Gold
15 min
+0.6k
−1.5k
season average
Head to head
5
0
2–1 in the last series
5
0
2–1 in the last seriesModelSeries winner
Accuracy
At this confidenceLCS ROI
ROI on +EV picks
FastTree
85.5
14.5
82%40/49
79%260/329
Claims 85.5% here · was right 79% of the time at this confidence (260/329)
−2.1%23/31
?Return from a flat stake on every settled pick this model made on this market in this league, priced at closing market odds.23/31 picks
−16.0%7/13
?Same flat-stake return in this league, counting only positive-EV picks - where the model's fair price beat the market line at close.7/13 picks
LightGBMBest ROI in LCS
86%43/50
79%262/331
+10.2%25/31
?Return from a flat stake on every settled pick this model made on this market in this league, priced at closing market odds.25/31 picks
+16.7%7/10
?Same flat-stake return in this league, counting only positive-EV picks - where the model's fair price beat the market line at close.7/10 picks
PCA SweepBest +EV in LCS
84%42/50
77%296/385
+9.9%25/31
?Return from a flat stake on every settled pick this model made on this market in this league, priced at closing market odds.25/31 picks
+18.8%12/16
?Same flat-stake return in this league, counting only positive-EV picks - where the model's fair price beat the market line at close.12/16 picks
ConsensusBest accuracy in LCSBest for confidence
88%43/49
80%268/337
+4.6%23/29
?Return from a flat stake on every settled pick this model made on this market in this league, priced at closing market odds.23/29 picks
−3.1%6/10
?Same flat-stake return in this league, counting only positive-EV picks - where the model's fair price beat the market line at close.6/10 picks
Accuracy and ROI are each model's record on past LCS matches on this market.
Best price
market line
TLAW1.03
DIG10.00
TLAW1.03
DIG10.00Chance the market gives
from the price, margin removed
TLAW90.7%
DIG9.3%
TLAW90.7%
DIG9.3%Chance the models give
FastTree only
TLAW85.5%
DIG14.5%
TLAW85.5%
DIG14.5%
Sign in to track this pick
Tracked picksSaved picks go to the Stake Tracker on your account page and settle automatically once the match finishes. Premium members also get an email when the models change their call on a tracked series winner pick before kickoff - you can switch that on or off in your Account settings.
Sunday, Sep 6
FastTree
· free model
Best models: PCA Sweep
+18.8%
High confidenceUpdated 1h ago
SR30.4%
FLY69.6%
market 2.25 · fair 3.29
fair 1.44 · market 1.57
Model agreement
Unlock all four
50/50FastTree · 69.6% FLY
Form
2–3
2–3
last five series
2–3
2–3
last five series
Gold
15 min
−0.4k
+0.5k
season average
Head to head
0
7
1–2 in the last series
0
7
1–2 in the last seriesModelSeries winner
Accuracy
At this confidenceLCS ROI
ROI on +EV picks
FastTree
30.4
69.6
82%40/49
69%604/880
Claims 69.6% here · was right 69% of the time at this confidence (604/880)
−2.1%23/31
?Return from a flat stake on every settled pick this model made on this market in this league, priced at closing market odds.23/31 picks
−16.0%7/13
?Same flat-stake return in this league, counting only positive-EV picks - where the model's fair price beat the market line at close.7/13 picks
LightGBMBest ROI in LCS
86%43/50
–
+10.2%25/31
?Return from a flat stake on every settled pick this model made on this market in this league, priced at closing market odds.25/31 picks
+16.7%7/10
?Same flat-stake return in this league, counting only positive-EV picks - where the model's fair price beat the market line at close.7/10 picks
PCA SweepBest +EV in LCS
84%42/50
68%603/883
+9.9%25/31
?Return from a flat stake on every settled pick this model made on this market in this league, priced at closing market odds.25/31 picks
+18.8%12/16
?Same flat-stake return in this league, counting only positive-EV picks - where the model's fair price beat the market line at close.12/16 picks
ConsensusBest accuracy in LCSBest for confidence
88%43/49
70%593/851
+4.6%23/29
?Return from a flat stake on every settled pick this model made on this market in this league, priced at closing market odds.23/29 picks
−3.1%6/10
?Same flat-stake return in this league, counting only positive-EV picks - where the model's fair price beat the market line at close.6/10 picks
Accuracy and ROI are each model's record on past LCS matches on this market.
Line movement
SR
2.50
→
2.25
·
FLY
1.50
→
1.57
2
Line movement · SR / FLY
Sep 2 02:002.50
1.50
Sep 5 14:002.25 ▼
1.57 ▲
Sign in to track this pick
Tracked picksSaved picks go to the Stake Tracker on your account page and settle automatically once the match finishes. Premium members also get an email when the models change their call on a tracked series winner pick before kickoff - you can switch that on or off in your Account settings.
FastTree
· free model
Best models: PCA Sweep
+18.8%
High confidenceUpdated 1h ago
LYON85.5%
DSG14.5%
market 1.03 · fair 1.17
fair 6.89 · market 10.00
Model agreement
Unlock all four
50/50FastTree · 85.5% LYON
Form
4–1
1–4
last five series
4–1
1–4
last five series
Gold
15 min
+0.6k
−0.5k
season average
Head to head
4
1
2–0 in the last series
4
1
2–0 in the last seriesModelSeries winner
Accuracy
At this confidenceLCS ROI
ROI on +EV picks
FastTree
85.5
14.5
82%40/49
79%260/329
Claims 85.5% here · was right 79% of the time at this confidence (260/329)
−2.1%23/31
?Return from a flat stake on every settled pick this model made on this market in this league, priced at closing market odds.23/31 picks
−16.0%7/13
?Same flat-stake return in this league, counting only positive-EV picks - where the model's fair price beat the market line at close.7/13 picks
LightGBMBest ROI in LCS
86%43/50
79%262/331
+10.2%25/31
?Return from a flat stake on every settled pick this model made on this market in this league, priced at closing market odds.25/31 picks
+16.7%7/10
?Same flat-stake return in this league, counting only positive-EV picks - where the model's fair price beat the market line at close.7/10 picks
PCA SweepBest +EV in LCS
84%42/50
77%296/385
+9.9%25/31
?Return from a flat stake on every settled pick this model made on this market in this league, priced at closing market odds.25/31 picks
+18.8%12/16
?Same flat-stake return in this league, counting only positive-EV picks - where the model's fair price beat the market line at close.12/16 picks
ConsensusBest accuracy in LCSBest for confidence
88%43/49
80%268/337
+4.6%23/29
?Return from a flat stake on every settled pick this model made on this market in this league, priced at closing market odds.23/29 picks
−3.1%6/10
?Same flat-stake return in this league, counting only positive-EV picks - where the model's fair price beat the market line at close.6/10 picks
Accuracy and ROI are each model's record on past LCS matches on this market.
Best price
market line
LYON1.03
DSG10.00
LYON1.03
DSG10.00Chance the market gives
from the price, margin removed
LYON90.7%
DSG9.3%
LYON90.7%
DSG9.3%Chance the models give
FastTree only
LYON85.5%
DSG14.5%
LYON85.5%
DSG14.5%
Sign in to track this pick
Tracked picksSaved picks go to the Stake Tracker on your account page and settle automatically once the match finishes. Premium members also get an email when the models change their call on a tracked series winner pick before kickoff - you can switch that on or off in your Account settings.
See every model's call on these matches
LightGBM, PCA Sweep and Consensus predictions, value picks and premium markets.
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